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Chances of aurora in second half of August

India
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Chances of aurora in second half of August

Hi,

I am in Canada till August end and planning to fly to Yellowknife in the second half of August. My only aim is to see the aura lights. What are the chances? How many nights should I plan to stay? Also, what will be the most reliable tour company?

Thanks in advance ...

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Canada
Canada
North America
Yellowknife
Yellowknife
Northwest Territories, Canada
Penticton, Canada
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1. Re: Chances of aurora in second half of August

they have web site for forecasting much like weather www.auroraborealisyukon.com/auroracast/

found using http://www.lmgtfy.com/

India
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2. Re: Chances of aurora in second half of August

Thanks, but this is a forecast which does not tell about days ahead

Victoria, Canada
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3. Re: Chances of aurora in second half of August

For an accurate forecast for the end of August, you'd have to search here, Impossiblepredictions.com !

Yellowknife, Canada
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4. Re: Chances of aurora in second half of August

Five myths about the Northern Lights, debunked

Why the Aurora is awesome in summer

spectacularnwt.com/story/why-aurora-awesome-…

India
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5. Re: Chances of aurora in second half of August

i was hoping to rely on something called statistics

India
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6. Re: Chances of aurora in second half of August

Thanks...

Victoria, Canada
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7. Re: Chances of aurora in second half of August

I've never been to Yellowknife, but follow the Aurorae quite closely, and have never seen any statistics personally for any where. Other than over a short term, they are impossible to predict.

Aurorae come from the Sun, mainly from sunspots. Right now, the Sun is completely bare and so there will be no sunspot driven aurorae over the next 4-10 days, they take several days to get here.

The Sun is well past its maximum, a few years ago, and therefore activity will continue to decrease.

There can also be aurorae from 'Coronal Holes' but these are even more difficult to predict.

This site may help www.gi.alaska.edu/AuroraForecast/NorthAmerica

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Yellowknife
Yellowknife
Northwest Territories, Canada
Yellowknife, Canada
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8. Re: Chances of aurora in second half of August

Hear Aurora Borealis expert Dr Yohsuke Kamide of Nagoya University Japan speak in Yellowknife NWT on why Yellowknife is the best place to watch the Aurora Borealis http://youtu.be/1SF8ArIj8Cc in English, watch/listen to this video

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Yellowknife
Yellowknife
Northwest Territories, Canada
Yellowknife, Canada
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9. Re: Chances of aurora in second half of August

Researchers have also discovered that auroral activity is cyclic, peaking roughly every 11 years. The next peak period is 2024. northernlightscentre.ca/northernlights.html

Yellowknife, Canada
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10. Re: Chances of aurora in second half of August

5 Things No One Ever Tells You About Northern Lights #Aurora #Borealis @jdomb's Travels http://ow.ly/pJYth “… 2. The Northern Lights are unpredictable.

In order to see the Northern Lights, you need a dark, clear night. They are visible from late September to March anywhere from 6pm to 6am. There also needs to be solar flares on the sun or solar wind; the Aurora Borealis happens when particles from the sun enter Earth’s atmosphere and collide violently with gas atoms. There are Aurora forecasts and we even use the Aurora Forecast app for iPhone that will predict the aurora activity level. But the fact is, the Northern Lights are unpredictable. We’ve had clear nights when the Aurora forecast showed level 4 (high) activity and we didn’t see anything. The Aurora forecast said level 0 (no activity) on January 4, 2013 when we saw them. …”

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